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Market analysis of 16 September 2023

Regional demand in Victoria peaked at 4,669.62 MW at 18:50 on 16 September 2023. The day’s lowest observation was 1,734.91 MW at 12:15, so demand moved by 2,934.71 MW from trough to peak.

At the demand peak the wholesale price was AUD 8.95/MWh. The day’s highest price, AUD 57.82/MWh, came at 00:15, and the daily price average was −AUD 18.31/MWh.

The Demand Profile Through The Day

The first chart traces five-minute demand and dispatchable generation in Victoria, in fixed UTC+10. The gap between the two lines reflects the region’s net interchange with its neighbours across the day.

Victoria Demand And Generation — 16 September 2023; 2023-09-16 | Five-Minute Observations | UTC+10
Regional demand and dispatchable generation in Victoria on 2023-09-16. Source: Network Map; MW, fixed UTC+10.

How The Five Regions Compared

The second chart compares each region’s peak demand for 16 September 2023. Victoria’s peak of 4,670 MW compares with New South Wales 8,266 MW, Queensland 6,934 MW, South Australia 1,457 MW, Tasmania 1,240 MW.

Peak Demand By Region On 16 September — 16 September 2023; 2023-09-16 | Highest Five-Minute Demand | MW
Peak regional demand by region on 2023-09-16. Source: Network Map; MW.

What The Day Means For Operations

For a battery operator, the question is where charging and discharging belonged within this curve. For a generator or retailer, the same timestamps show which intervals carried the most value or cost. Reviewing the day interval by interval keeps these signals visible where a daily average would hide them.

This analysis uses Network Map’s regional observations dated 16 September 2023. Prices are in Australian dollars per megawatt-hour, times use fixed UTC+10, and daily averages give equal weight to each five-minute observation.

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