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Market analysis of 4 October 2025

Regional demand in South Australia peaked at 1,553.86 MW at 19:30 on 4 October 2025. The day’s lowest observation was -30.13 MW at 12:20, so demand moved by 1,583.99 MW from trough to peak.

At the demand peak the wholesale price was AUD 109.51/MWh. The day’s highest price, AUD 140.56/MWh, came at 18:25, and the daily price average was AUD 26.14/MWh.

The Demand Profile Through The Day

The first chart traces five-minute demand and dispatchable generation in South Australia, in fixed UTC+10. The gap between the two lines reflects the region’s net interchange with its neighbours across the day.

South Australia Demand And Generation — 4 October 2025; 2025-10-04 | Five-Minute Observations | UTC+10
Regional demand and dispatchable generation in South Australia on 2025-10-04. Source: Network Map; MW, fixed UTC+10.

How The Five Regions Compared

The second chart compares each region’s peak demand for 4 October 2025. South Australia’s peak of 1,554 MW compares with New South Wales 8,047 MW, Queensland 7,049 MW, Victoria 5,303 MW, Tasmania 1,194 MW.

Peak Demand By Region On 4 October — 4 October 2025; 2025-10-04 | Highest Five-Minute Demand | MW
Peak regional demand by region on 2025-10-04. Source: Network Map; MW.

What The Day Means For Operations

For a battery operator, the question is where charging and discharging belonged within this curve. For a generator or retailer, the same timestamps show which intervals carried the most value or cost. Reviewing the day interval by interval keeps these signals visible where a daily average would hide them.

This analysis uses Network Map’s regional observations dated 4 October 2025. Prices are in Australian dollars per megawatt-hour, times use fixed UTC+10, and daily averages give equal weight to each five-minute observation.

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