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Market analysis of 4 February 2024

Regional demand in Victoria peaked at 8,046.20 MW at 18:30 on 4 February 2024. The day’s lowest observation was 3,075.31 MW at 09:25, so demand moved by 4,970.89 MW from trough to peak.

At the demand peak the wholesale price was AUD 299.50/MWh. The day’s highest price, AUD 299.50/MWh, came at 18:25, and the daily price average was AUD 53.60/MWh.

The Demand Profile Through The Day

The first chart traces five-minute demand and dispatchable generation in Victoria, in fixed UTC+10. The gap between the two lines reflects the region’s net interchange with its neighbours across the day.

Victoria Demand And Generation — 4 February 2024; 2024-02-04 | Five-Minute Observations | UTC+10
Regional demand and dispatchable generation in Victoria on 2024-02-04. Source: Network Map; MW, fixed UTC+10.

How The Five Regions Compared

The second chart compares each region’s peak demand for 4 February 2024. Victoria’s peak of 8,046 MW compares with New South Wales 12,295 MW, Queensland 9,276 MW, South Australia 2,287 MW, Tasmania 1,307 MW.

Peak Demand By Region On 4 February — 4 February 2024; 2024-02-04 | Highest Five-Minute Demand | MW
Peak regional demand by region on 2024-02-04. Source: Network Map; MW.

What The Day Means For Operations

For a battery operator, the question is where charging and discharging belonged within this curve. For a generator or retailer, the same timestamps show which intervals carried the most value or cost. Reviewing the day interval by interval keeps these signals visible where a daily average would hide them.

This analysis uses Network Map’s regional observations dated 4 February 2024. Prices are in Australian dollars per megawatt-hour, times use fixed UTC+10, and daily averages give equal weight to each five-minute observation.

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